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    « No Moanin' This Week | Main | Movie Moan - Would You Like To Discuss The Bird Shit Facial With Me? »

    Movie Moan's Summer 2012 Prediction Power Hour


    Phil, Kristina and Jamie reunite to do battle once more as they look at each of the summer blockbusters in detail one more time and place their bets on just how much money each will bring in.  Will 'The Dark Knight Rises' cross $500 million?  Will 'Battleship' make a tenth of that?  Do kids love 'The Amazing Spider-man' enough for the web slinger to survive against the competition this year?  Which insane prediction of Phil's will make us drop our mics?  Most importantly, will Kristina win this time?

    Also joining us this year is professional help in the form of Writer for and Founder of, Shawn Robbins!

    And in case you want to skip to a specific prediction, here are the cliff notes:

    5 mins - The Avengers

    13:35 mins - Dark Shadows

    21:10 mins - The Dictator (which changed its release date to May 18th right after we recorded)

    29:30 mins - Battleship

    37 mins - Men In Black 3

    43:10 mins - Snow White & The Huntsman

    51:55 mins - Prometheus

    63:25 mins - Rock Of Ages

    68:45 mins - Brave

    78:50 mins - G.I.Joe: Retaliation

    86:15 mins - The Amazing Spider-man

    97:50 mins - Ice Age: Continental Drift

    102:40 mins - The Dark Knight Rises

    118:20 mins - The Bourne Legacy

    125:25 mins - Total Recall

    132:50 mins - The Expendables 2

    Download the audio only file right here:

    Movie Moan's Summer 2012 Prediction Power Hour

    Reader Comments (14)

    Curious. What's the name of the track you use behind the "Snow White and the Huntsman" piece?

    04-11-2012 | Unregistered CommenterLighthouse

    The track is called 'World Collapsing' by Danny Cocke (not Daft Punk as was my initial assumption). It's the actual music composed for the trailer and you can listen to it on youtube if you search.

    04-12-2012 | Registered CommenterPhil Gee

    Jo's Predictions (domestic totals)

    The Avengers - $380 (finally, a Marvel film worthy of the praise)
    Dark Shadows - $130 (Depp + pop genre)
    The Dictator - $40 (ugh)
    Battleship - $130 (GL numbers, Berg should have been on Gi Joe)
    Men In Black 3 - $180 (nostalgia)
    Snow White & The Huntsman - $178.6 (see Narnia avg's)
    Prometheus - $155 (pg -13, but no stars)
    Rock Of Ages - $90 (Depends on the music)
    Brave - $260 (Dreamworks bounces back form bombs all the time. Pixar's first princess movie)
    G.I.Joe - $180 (Better release date & real stars)
    Spider-man - $280 (see spiderman track record, minus first class syndrome = startrek #s)
    Ice Age: Continental Drift - $170 (safe animation guess)
    The Dark Knight Rises - $395 (for many reasons, least of which being the film climate this year)
    The Bourne Legacy - $174.6 (see bourne avg's)
    Total Recall - $90 (see Wisemen avg's)
    The Expendables 2 - $125 (see Avengers, if it was a joke)

    Anyways I think I came in second last year, not sure.
    Phil, really appreciate all the work ou do on and for this site. You leave I leave. But man are you in for a wake up call this year. Your guesses are too passion filled, perhaps you'll learn your lesson next year.

    Also you guys are going to get a big wake up call with Spiderman. As much as you want to hate it(and boy do you ever), it's still Spiderman. His name is bigger than both Toby and Raimi. Even his bad film performed insanely well, he's arguably the most popular superhero name in the world. For some of you guys to have it performing like weaker than those Marvel studio films is silly.

    Also, could you guys speak on the state of Disney's (in house) live action dept. Seems like they are completely lost these days, same goes for their animation. If it wasn't for Marvel and Pixar, they would be sunk at this point.

    I'd be surprised if any film breaks 1billion this summer.
    (note, I may have posted this twice, the server always screws with me)

    04-12-2012 | Unregistered Commenterjo

    Here are my predictions:

    The Avengers: $360 million
    Dark Shadows: $145 million
    The Dictator: $70 million
    Battleship: $85 million
    Men In Black 3: $160 million
    Snow White & The Huntsman: $200 million
    Prometheus: $190 million
    Rock Of Ages: $115 million
    Brave: $215 million
    G.I. Joe: Retaliation: $140 million
    The Amazing Spider-Man: $250 million
    Ice Age: Continental Drift: $180 million
    The Dark Knight Rises: $490 million
    The Bourne Legacy: $100 million
    Total Recall: $90 million
    The Expendables 2: $115 million

    Oh yeah I'm ready guys! :)

    04-12-2012 | Unregistered CommenterA2THEH

    Last year I would have agreed with you Jo. I made some very silly predictions.

    This year though, I worked it out. I feel very confident with my predictions and in any instance where I've bid high, it's because I believe in the quality of the film, or at least that audiences will respond to them.

    And I choose to take 'passion filled' as a compliment. :)

    04-13-2012 | Registered CommenterPhil Gee

    I was a little hyperbolic last year, so I better be a a little bit more conservative...

    The Avengers - $290M

    Dark Shadows - $165M

    The Dictator - $55M

    Battleship - $140M

    Men In Black 3 $180M

    Snow White & The Huntsman - $210M

    Prometheus - so hard to call, as it really depends on the final rating... it could be anywhere between $140 and $250M. I really can't be more specific.

    Rock Of Ages - $120M

    Brave - $260M

    G.I.Joe: Retaliation - This year's Green Lantern, even if it turns out to be fun. $113M

    The Amazing Spider-man - okay, allow me just a tad of hyperbole... $270M

    Ice Age: Continental Drift - $170M

    The Dark Knight Rises - $470M

    The Bourne Legacy - $147M

    Total Recall - $105M at the most!

    The Expendables 2 - it will crawl to $90M (if it gets that close) and this might surprise you coming from me.... but I honestly think this one WILL suck!

    04-14-2012 | Unregistered Commenterwelshfilmbuff

    Actually the part where The Joker says, "And here we go" was in the 3rd act and in the trailer but besides that and the last shot of the movie nothing from the 3rd act was shown in the trailer.

    04-14-2012 | Unregistered CommenterA2THEH


    Yes, that did occur to me after we recorded. I think the fact remains though that fans piecing the story together based on the trailers alone had a very different version of 'The Dark Knight' in their heads even a few weeks before release (the Batpod/Truck/Street showdown was the climax, Two Face is set up for the sequel etc.). It will be the same for this film. The last 20-30 mins will not be revealed.

    And the actual ending, whatever it is, will probably be a totally polarizing one. Either people will stand up and cheer or completely hate it.


    I understand your caution sir but you have to put an actual number on Prometheus. That's only fair to the rest of the competitors. Just guess; I'll bet you win.

    04-14-2012 | Registered CommenterPhil Gee

    Okay, I'll go the A2THEH route and say $180M for Prometheus. Thinking about its possibilties, I can see it getting Apes money.

    04-15-2012 | Unregistered Commenterwelshfilmbuff

    The Avengers: $350 M (I don't know where you guys got the idea that general audiences thought Thor or Cap were part of the same franchise. Maybe after seeing Coulson/Fury in the movies or after seeing The Avengers trailer thay caught on, but before they were just thought as part of the same brand, like X-Men or Spider-Man)
    Dark Shadows: $120 M
    The Dictator: $50 M
    Battleship: $80 M
    Men In Black 3: $210 M
    Snow White & The Huntsman: $215 M
    Prometheus: $180 M (kinda hard predicting this one without the raiting...and even then)
    Rock Of Ages: $105 M
    Brave: $220 M
    G.I. Joe: Retaliation: $150 M
    The Amazing Spider-Man: $245 M
    Ice Age: Continental Drift: $200 M
    The Dark Knight Rises: $450 M
    The Bourne Legacy: $130 M
    Total Recall: $60 M
    The Expendables 2: $85 M

    And bonus track....because it was mentioned on the show....

    Abraham Lincoln: Vampire Hunter: $35 M

    04-15-2012 | Unregistered CommenterTheMati

    The Avengers--$360mil

    Dark Shadows--$110mil

    The Dictator-- $55mil


    Men In Black 3--$175mil

    Snow White & The Huntsman--$225mil


    Rock Of Ages--$120mil


    G.I.Joe: Retaliation--$170mil

    The Amazing Spider-man--$230mil

    Ice Age: Continental Drift--$185mil

    The Dark Knight Rises--$465mil

    The Bourne Legacy--$120mil

    Total Recall--$65mil

    The Expendables 2--$120mil

    Snow White and the Huntsman is the one I'm most nervous about because it has just as good of a chance of being a huge bomb and success and it's not easy to make 200mil domestically. I call that my limb prediction.

    The Avengers 380M
    Dark Shadows 155M
    The Dictator 125M
    Battleship (doing good in foreign countries but not sure about Domestic total) 165M
    Men In Black 3 175M
    Snow White & The Huntsman 180M
    Prometheus 160M
    Rock Of Ages 110M
    Brave 210M
    G.I.Joe: Retaliation 158M
    The Amazing Spider-man 205M
    Ice Age: Continental Drift 155M
    The Dark Knight Rises 460M
    The Bourne Legacy 170M
    Total Recall 125M
    The Expendables 2 115M

    04-18-2012 | Unregistered CommenterJoshua Figueiredo

    Oh this is wonderful, look at all these numbers I have to crunch in September :)

    Thanks again for taking part everyone.

    04-19-2012 | Registered CommenterPhil Gee

    I know I've criticized Jamie enough about The Amazing Spider-Man but when he said, "250 is insane!" and "Is international really gonna saved them?" Those quotes just burned into my brain. Jamie Spider-Man is the most popular superhero internationally. Look at the numbers no doubt it will make $500 million international alone because of it's popularity and the 3D bump. Oh and it will make $100 million in the 6 day weekend. Guaranteed! So this is the last time I will talk about The Amazing Spider-Man and Jamie's thoughts on it until the movie comes out. $250 million! :)

    04-20-2012 | Unregistered CommenterA2THEH

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